Telecom Lead America: Sales of high-bandwidth enabling
GPON OLTs, DOCSIS 3.0 CMTS and VDSL infrastructure equipment will be the lead
growth segments in the Access market through 2016 offsetting declining revenue
for slower-speed ADSL equipment.
GPON will have the highest growth rate followed by CMTS
and VDSL.
GPON growth is driven by deployments in China as well as
increasing projects in other global regions.
Steve Nozik, principal analyst of Access research at
Dell’Oro Group, said for CMTS, growth will be driven by rapidly increasing
Internet traffic, competition with telecom service providers, and an increasing
focus on the small and medium-sized business market among cable operators as
well as a migration to IP video service.
DOCSIS will continue as the primary Cable broadband
technology for at least the next five years due to additional channel bonding
being used to meet increasing bandwidth requirements. VDSL’s higher
bandwidth capabilities in association with emerging vectoring technology aimed
at extending the life of copper infrastructure by eliminating cross-talk will
drive VDSL growth over the next five years.
